Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#132
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.4#14
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#123
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 1.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 38.1% 22.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.4 12.1 13.6
.500 or above 81.8% 95.2% 80.6%
.500 or above in Conference 89.7% 96.6% 89.1%
Conference Champion 32.4% 47.2% 31.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four0.3% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round23.7% 37.8% 22.5%
Second Round4.2% 10.0% 3.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 2.9% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 7.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 34 - 7
Quad 410 - 215 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 21   @ Oregon L 69-84 8%    
  Nov 28, 2020 129   @ Washington St. L 80-83 39%    
  Dec 03, 2020 266   @ Northern Arizona W 80-75 68%    
  Dec 05, 2020 266   @ Northern Arizona W 80-75 68%    
  Dec 09, 2020 102   @ UNLV L 75-81 31%    
  Dec 15, 2020 74   @ St. Mary's L 70-79 21%    
  Dec 31, 2020 252   Portland St. W 91-80 82%    
  Jan 02, 2021 252   Portland St. W 91-80 82%    
  Jan 07, 2021 256   @ Weber St. W 80-75 65%    
  Jan 09, 2021 256   @ Weber St. W 80-75 65%    
  Jan 14, 2021 192   Southern Utah W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 16, 2021 192   Southern Utah W 82-75 72%    
  Jan 21, 2021 166   @ Northern Colorado L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 23, 2021 166   @ Northern Colorado L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 28, 2021 230   Sacramento St. W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 30, 2021 230   Sacramento St. W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 04, 2021 322   @ Idaho W 83-73 80%    
  Feb 06, 2021 322   Idaho W 86-70 91%    
  Feb 11, 2021 209   @ Montana St. W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 13, 2021 209   @ Montana St. W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 18, 2021 140   Montana W 79-76 62%    
  Feb 20, 2021 140   @ Montana L 76-79 41%    
  Mar 04, 2021 299   Idaho St. W 86-73 86%    
  Mar 06, 2021 299   Idaho St. W 86-73 85%    
Projected Record 15 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.9 6.7 8.0 6.7 4.1 1.4 32.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.5 5.9 6.5 4.5 1.5 0.2 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.2 4.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.6 4.0 5.3 7.1 8.9 10.9 12.0 12.0 11.5 9.6 6.9 4.1 1.4 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
19-1 100.0% 4.1    4.0 0.1
18-2 96.8% 6.7    5.9 0.7
17-3 84.0% 8.0    6.2 1.8 0.0
16-4 58.3% 6.7    3.9 2.4 0.3 0.0
15-5 32.5% 3.9    1.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
14-6 11.8% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 32.4% 32.4 23.7 7.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.4% 100.0% 100.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
19-1 4.1% 99.0% 98.3% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 38.6%
18-2 6.9% 87.4% 86.5% 0.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.9 6.8%
17-3 9.6% 65.5% 65.2% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.5 1.3 0.2 3.3 0.9%
16-4 11.5% 34.5% 34.4% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.3 7.5 0.1%
15-5 12.0% 14.4% 14.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 10.3
14-6 12.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.6
13-7 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.9
12-8 8.9% 8.9
11-9 7.1% 7.1
10-10 5.3% 5.3
9-11 4.0% 4.0
8-12 2.6% 2.6
7-13 1.8% 1.8
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 23.8% 23.7% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.4 6.9 7.1 4.4 1.2 76.2 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.9 2.6 42.3 25.6 24.4 5.1